By Henok Tadele HAILE Addis Ababa, February 17, 2026 (ENA)—Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan will soon touch down in Addis Ababa, a visit arriving at a moment when both nations are redefining their regional and global roles. The trip represents the renewal of a historic friendship and signals the growing importance of cooperation between two countries whose shared ambitions increasingly intersect across trade, security, and continental influence. The arrival of Türkiye’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Addis Ababa comes with symbolism that reaches far beyond diplomatic protocol. A few years ago, at one of Ethiopia’s most delicate moments, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed travelled to Türkiye and was received with extraordinary dignity and warmth. The ceremonial welcome, marked by tradition and honor, reflected a relationship built on trust rather than convenience. As President Erdoğan prepares to step onto Ethiopian soil, there is a strong sense of historical balance, as if two long standing partners are continuing a conversation that has lasted generations. Ethiopia has often stood as one of Türkiye’s most reliable and consistent friends in Africa. This visit carries the feeling of reconnecting with a trusted ally whose stability, ambition, and influence continue to grow across the continent. A Friendship Rooted in Deep History The connection between Türkiye and Ethiopia stretches back long before modern diplomacy. Trade and cultural exchanges between the Horn of Africa and Anatolia existed through ancient maritime routes linking the Red Sea to Mediterranean markets. Through centuries, interaction continued during imperial periods and gradually transformed into formal diplomatic relations that have remained remarkably consistent. The transition from historic interaction to formal modern diplomacy began in 1896, when delegations were exchanged between Ottoman Sultan Abdülhamid II and Ethiopian Emperor Menelik II, marking the first structured diplomatic contact between the two states. Relations deepened further with the opening of the Ottoman Consulate in Harar in 1912. The modern diplomatic foundation was firmly established when the Republic of Türkiye opened its first embassy in Sub Saharan Africa in Addis Ababa in 1926, followed by Ethiopia opening its embassy in Ankara in 1933. These milestones laid the institutional groundwork for a relationship that has endured political transitions and continues to expand in scope and strategic importance. Modern ties grew stronger during the twentieth century through embassies, trade cooperation, and development partnerships. Over time, these relations have matured into one of the most stable and dependable partnerships linking Africa and Eurasia. Ethiopia’s Economic Rise and a Future Taking Shape Ethiopia is undergoing one of the fastest economic transformations on the African continent. Massive infrastructure expansion, industrial development, and urban modernization are reshaping the country’s economic landscape at remarkable speed. The country is already among Africa’s largest economies, and current growth momentum suggests a clear path toward becoming the continent’s leading economic powerhouse within the coming decade. Such rapid transformation naturally attracts strategic partners who recognize long term opportunity. Türkiye, with its diversified industrial base and advanced manufacturing capabilities, stands in a strong position to grow alongside Ethiopia’s development journey. Two Nations Creating a Market of Enormous Potential Demographic strength adds another dimension to this partnership. Türkiye’s population of more than eighty five million and Ethiopia’s population exceeding one hundred thirty million create a combined market that offers extraordinary production and consumption capacity. Cooperation between the two nations has the potential to stimulate trade, manufacturing, and technology development that could serve markets across Africa, the Middle East, and Europe. Working through Ethiopia also provides Türkiye a natural gateway into Africa’s rapidly expanding economic networks, especially as continental trade integration continues to accelerate. Aviation and Continental Connectivity Africa’s commercial connectivity still relies heavily on aviation due to limited ground transportation links. Ethiopian Airlines has built one of the most extensive air networks across Africa, connecting major business and political capitals with remarkable efficiency. Ethiopia’s aviation leadership offers Türkiye valuable access to African markets and logistics channels. Cooperation between Addis Ababa and Istanbul as major global aviation hubs creates strong potential for knowledge exchange, joint logistics development, and expanded trade routes linking continents. Infrastructure Dreams and Construction Opportunities Ethiopia’s development strategy over the next decade includes major projects in transportation, energy, and urban housing. New railway corridors, hydroelectric dams, airports, and large scale housing developments are expected to transform both economic productivity and living standards. Turkish construction firms have gained global recognition for technical expertise, speed, and efficiency in delivering complex infrastructure. Expanded cooperation in this sector could open opportunities worth billions of dollars while accelerating Ethiopia’s modernization goals. Turning Ethiopia’s Iron and Steel Vision into Reality Türkiye is recognized as a major global player in iron and steel production, possessing advanced industrial knowledge and strong manufacturing capacity. Ethiopia, meanwhile, holds enormous deposits of iron ore and possesses the raw potential to establish a competitive domestic steel industry. Collaboration between Turkish industrial expertise and Ethiopia’s natural resources could transform Ethiopia’s long standing ambition of building a strong iron and steel sector into a tangible reality. Such development would not only support Ethiopia’s infrastructure boom but also position the country as a regional manufacturing center, creating employment and strengthening industrial independence. Mining, Energy, and Industrial Expansion Beyond iron and steel, Ethiopia holds significant reserves of gold, natural gas, and rare earth minerals that are becoming increasingly valuable in modern technology and renewable energy production. Türkiye’s experience in mining extraction and processing offers strong opportunities for partnership that could unlock Ethiopia’s resource potential while strengthening industrial supply chains for both nations. Investment Confidence and Growing Economic Trust Türkiye has already established itself as one of the most significant foreign investors in Ethiopia. Turkish companies operate across manufacturing, textiles, construction, and service sectors, employing tens of thousands of Ethiopian workers and contributing to industrial growth. Ethiopia’s strong economic expansion and increasing industrial diversification suggest that investment opportunities will continue to grow. Long term cooperation in manufacturing and industry could further deepen economic ties and create mutual prosperity. Security, Maritime Stability, and Regional Balance Ethiopia’s pursuit of reliable maritime access carries implications beyond trade. Strengthened engagement in Red Sea security could contribute to stability along one of the world’s most important maritime trade corridors. Historically, Ethiopia’s naval presence helped maintain stability in parts of the southern Red Sea, and renewed engagement could reinforce regional maritime security. Such stability benefits international shipping, trade safety, and economic reliability, outcomes that align closely with Türkiye’s strategic interests as a major trading nation. Diplomatic Influence and Continental Reach Ethiopia holds unique political importance as host of the African Union, where major continental policies and diplomatic initiatives are shaped. Partnerships with Ethiopia naturally extend influence across Africa’s political and economic landscape, opening broader cooperation opportunities for Türkiye throughout the continent. Türkiye’s position within the G20 further strengthens the strategic weight of this relationship, linking African growth with global economic leadership. A Visit That Signals a Strategic Future President Erdoğan’s visit arrives at a moment when both countries are expanding their regional and global influence. The visit is expected to deepen economic partnerships, strengthen diplomatic coordination, and create new pathways for industrial and technological cooperation. More importantly, it reinforces the idea that relations between Türkiye and Ethiopia are built on reliability, historical trust, and shared ambition. As Ethiopia accelerates its rise and Türkiye expands its global economic presence, cooperation between the two nations carries the promise of reshaping trade, industry, and regional stability. This visit feels less like the beginning of a new chapter and more like the continuation of a long story, one where two nations separated by geography continue to discover how closely their futures can align.

By Molla Mitiku Addis Ababa, February 13, 2026 (ENA)—Seventy years after the formal birth of the Pan-African project, the African Union stands as Africa’s most enduring collective political enterprise. Forged in the crucible of anti-colonial struggle and shaped by decades of reform, conflict, and institutional experimentation, the Union has reached a decisive moment. In 2026, its relevance is measured not by declarations but by delivery. The defining question is whether the AU can convert continental diplomacy into concrete gains in peace, prosperity, and dignity for Africa’s 1.4 billion people. The Union’s journey reflects Africa’s long effort to reclaim agency in a global system that once marginalized it. From the intellectual ferment of early Pan-Africanism to the complex geopolitical terrain of the twenty-first century, the AU embodies an unfinished struggle to transform a shared history of resistance into a future of collective strength. Established initially to dismantle colonial rule and defend newly won sovereignty, its mandate has steadily expanded. Today it spans conflict prevention, economic integration, climate resilience, and the assertion of African interests in global governance. Yet a central tension persists. The Union must balance the sanctity of national sovereignty with the growing necessity of shared responsibility for peace, development, and accountability. Continental Unity The African Union is the institutional heir to Pan-Africanism, a movement born in the late nineteenth century among Africans and people of African descent confronting slavery, racism, and colonial domination. What began as a transnational intellectual current evolved into a political program at the 1945 Pan-African Congress in Manchester, where future leaders rejected gradual reform and demanded immediate self-rule. Ghana’s independence in 1957 marked a turning point. Its first president, Kwame Nkrumah, argued that political freedom without economic unity would leave Africa exposed to external control. He warned that “Africa must unite” or remain trapped in dependency and exploitation. His insistence on industrialization and control over natural resources continues to shape policy debates across the continent. As independence spread, African leaders divided over the pace and depth of unity. The Casablanca Group favored rapid political integration, including a common defense structure and a strong central authority. The Monrovia Group urged caution, prioritizing state sovereignty and cooperation limited to selected sectors. The compromise between these visions produced the Organization of African Unity in May 1963. The OAU committed itself to completing decolonization and preserving inherited borders while pledging non-interference in internal affairs. The OAU Era: Gains and Limitations For nearly four decades, the OAU functioned as Africa’s diplomatic shield. Through its Liberation Committee in Dar es Salaam, it coordinated support for anti-colonial movements across Southern Africa. The independence of Angola, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and Namibia, followed by the end of apartheid in South Africa, remains among its most tangible achievements. Yet the principles that held the organization together also constrained it. Respect for colonial borders reduced interstate conflict but entrenched internal divisions. Non-interference, designed to protect fragile states from external manipulation, increasingly shielded authoritarian rule. By the early 1990s, Africa’s gravest threats were internal conflicts, civil wars, and state collapse. The failure to prevent the 1994 Rwandan genocide exposed the tragic limits of this approach. Prolonged wars in Liberia and Sierra Leone reinforced the realization that absolute sovereignty was untenable when states turned against their own citizens. These crises compelled African leaders to rethink continental governance. That reassessment culminated in the creation of the African Union in 2002. Its Constitutive Act introduced the doctrine of non-indifference, granting the Union the right to intervene in cases of genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. This marked a historic shift by placing the protection of people alongside the authority of the state. To give substance to this mandate, the AU established the African Peace and Security Architecture, anchored by the Peace and Security Council and supported by the African Standby Force. Early missions in Burundi, Darfur, and Somalia demonstrated a willingness to act. The long-running operation in Somalia showed that African-led interventions could stabilize fragile environments. At the same time, these missions revealed a persistent weakness. Peace operations remain heavily dependent on external financing, limiting strategic autonomy. Ethiopia: Architect and Anchor of the Union Ethiopia’s role in shaping continental unity is both historical and contemporary. As the only African state to defeat a European colonial power during the Scramble for Africa, its victory at Adwa in 1896 provided a psychological foundation for Pan-Africanism. This legacy earned Ethiopia recognition as a symbol of resistance and inspired leaders such as Kwame Nkrumah and Nelson Mandela, who received his first military training there. Ethiopia’s diplomatic influence proved decisive during the ideological rifts of the early 1960s. Under Emperor Haile Selassie, Addis Ababa hosted the summit that founded the OAU, offering neutral ground at a moment of division. By becoming the permanent seat of the continental organization, Ethiopia ensured that Africa’s collective deliberations would take place on African soil. Today, as host of both the African Union and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, Addis Ababa remains a central hub of continental diplomacy. Ethiopia has also emerged as a major contributor to African peace and security. For more than seven decades, it has ranked among the leading providers of peacekeepers to United Nations and AU missions, from the Congo in the 1960s to present deployments in Somalia, South Sudan, and Abyei. These contributions have often helped prevent wider regional instability. Economic and physical integration form another pillar of Ethiopia’s continental engagement. Ethiopian Airlines connects dozens of African capitals, facilitating trade, tourism, and people-to-people ties. In energy, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has positioned the country as a source of renewable power for the region, exporting electricity to Djibouti, Kenya, and Sudan and promoting interdependence. Ethiopia’s early ratification of the African Continental Free Trade Area signals its commitment to a unified market. Symbolically, Ethiopia’s influence extends across culture and identity. The green, gold, and red of its national flag were adopted by more than twenty African states at independence. More recently, the Green Legacy Initiative, aimed at planting billions of trees, has placed Ethiopia at the forefront of Africa’s climate response, linking environmental stewardship to continental resilience. Agenda 2063 and the Economic Frontier The African Union’s long-term vision is articulated in Agenda 2063, titled “The Africa We Want.” Now in its Second Ten-Year Implementation Plan for 2024 to 2033, often described as the Decade of Acceleration, the agenda seeks to transform Africa into an integrated, prosperous continent driven by its own citizens. Central to this ambition is structural economic change that moves Africa beyond primary commodity exports. The African Continental Free Trade Area stands at the heart of this effort. Bringing together 55 economies, it is the world’s largest free trade area by membership. By 2026, the AfCFTA has progressed from legal adoption to guided trade, with protocols on digital trade and investment underway. Its goal is to raise intra-African trade from about 15 to 18 percent to more than 50 percent by 2045 through tariff reduction, harmonized rules of origin, and regional value chains. Structural obstacles remain formidable. Africa faces an annual infrastructure financing gap estimated between 68 and 108 billion dollars. Weak transport corridors, inefficient borders, and energy shortages continue to undermine industrial growth. Non-tariff barriers such as complex customs procedures often prove more restrictive than tariffs themselves. To address these constraints, the AU has prioritized soft infrastructure. The Pan-African Payment and Settlement System allows cross-border trade in local currencies, saving an estimated five billion dollars annually in conversion costs. If combined with investments in transport, energy, and digital connectivity, the AfCFTA could lift 30 million people out of extreme poverty and strengthen Africa’s position in global negotiations. Persisting Political Challenges as Water Takes Center Stage at Annual Summit As the AU marks its seventieth year, it faces renewed political stress. A resurgence of military coups and democratic erosion has tested its credibility. While instruments such as the Lomé Declaration and the African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance exist, uneven enforcement has raised questions about political resolve. The challenge is to move beyond suspension and sanctions toward restoring constitutional order and preventing term-limit manipulation. Against this backdrop, the 39th Ordinary Session of the Assembly in February 2026 adopted the theme “Assuring Sustainable Water Availability and Safe Sanitation Systems to Achieve the Goals of Agenda 2063.” This choice reflects a recognition that water is no longer a technical issue but a core security concern. With Africa’s population projected to reach 2.5 billion by 2050 and climate pressures intensifying, competition over water affects food systems, energy production, and social stability. By elevating water to the highest political level, the AU has acknowledged that development and security are inseparable. Industrialization under the AfCFTA, agricultural transformation under the CAADP strategy, and energy cooperation through transboundary projects such as the GERD all depend on reliable water management. As one AU official noted during the 2026 summit, “Water is the thread that holds the goals of Agenda 2063 together.” All told, at seventy, the African Union stands at a defining crossroads between aspiration and accountability. The vision of leaders such as Kwame Nkrumah and Haile Selassie was rooted in dignity, unity, and shared prosperity for Africa’s people. In 2026, collective action is no longer a matter of choice but of necessity. Whether the Union can bridge the gap between continental ambition and national implementation will shape the trajectory of the continent for generations to come. From advancing health sovereignty through the African Medicines Agency to confronting the water–energy–food nexus, the AU’s mission has evolved from political liberation to economic and social transformation. The next decades will determine whether it becomes a decisive engine of change — or remains a compelling vision still striving to be fully realized in the daily lives of its people.